Global turmoil & analysis

Russia has conducted strikes on Kyiv for the last five days (including today). This is happening while today it was reported that Kyiv, and the Kyiv region, could become a frontline in the war as early as September. It has also been reported recently that Putin has told some aids that he fears he might be hanged if Russia does not capture the entirety of the Donbas region of Ukraine. I would say if Russia does not get the Donbas (and I do not think they will) I do think Putin would die very shortly afterwards, but I would be surprised if he even survives long enough (in that scenario) to be hanged.

 Last night in Bucha Ukraine, a Russian missile strike killed 37 civilians. The strike also caused a fire that spread, and damaged at least 50 residential buildings. The city of Bucha is located roughly 21 miles from Kyiv. You might remember the name Bucha, because it is the place where (early in the war) Russian soldiers took civilians out of their homes, then the Russians blindfold them, tied their hands behind their backs, and shot them.

 Total war is a frightful, and ominous term, and in the course of World History it is also rare. The 20th century was very bloody, yet only two of that centuries' conflicts would qualify as total wars (WW1, WW2). A total war is simply described as a war in which at least one of the participating sides will use any, and all available means to destroy the enemy (including deliberate killing of civilians). A good way to summarize the term "total war" is a war in which diplomatic efforts to bring about a close to hostilities does not exist. I bring all of this up, to point out that Russia is treating the war with Ukraine as a total war. It is the only explanation for why Russia is routinely doing atrocities such as bombing apartment buildings in Ukraine.  

 In this post, I am going to talk about a hypothetical situation to show what is currently at stake in the world. WARNING, this is not fun to write about, but it is important to help understand the threat that the free world is facing. It is five years from now, China is currently fighting across the United States. Most of the west coast has been taken over by China. Within Sacramento (and throughout California) some American families have been in hiding (some for months, others for years). Most of the families are missing at least one member, as many of the men have been killed or captured while attempting to fight off the invading Chinese Military.  One of the families in hiding has the last name of Smith. Before the invasion began, the Smith family had five members, five years later it is down to three. The first loss was the oldest son; he joined the United States Army when rumors started going around that China might invade. Nearly two years after he joined when the invas...

 This post is going to be a sort of follow up to the last post. The war in Ukraine has been ongoing nonstop (no ceasefires) at a fierce intensity for over 4 years. With that being said, the last few months have witnessed an increase in the scope of the war.  Throughout the war, there has been a nearly constant fear that Russia will decide to utilize nuclear weapons. It is important to note that despite the fear, the overall risk of using such weapons has remained low (primarily because doing so would be viewed globally as an unacceptable escalation). Despite this, the war has reached a point where many analysts (including sources in Russia not given to propaganda) have expressed genuine concern that Putin might decide to take such a step in the very near future. The reason for the increase in concern is Ukraine is winning (and dictators cannot lose). What I mean is, Putin is a dictator, and he cannot lose to Ukraine. The logic being, if Putin feels like he will lose to Ukraine...

 Early this morning an unusual flight showed up on flight tracking websites. The flight stood out (among other reasons) because it was a United States plane heading towards Moscow Russia. The main speculation about who was on the plane was confirmed a few hours later. It was the director of the CIA who was on the plane with the stated reason being to "meet with Russian officials." Who he met with, and what was discussed is currently unknown officially. In the next paragraph, I will state the leading theories and finish the post with what it likely means. The last time a CIA Director went to Moscow was November 2021, and the reason for the trip was to stabilize relations and urge Russia not to invade Ukraine (which happened anyway 4 months later). With that being the case, the leading theory for the trip today is the United States has intelligence signaling that Russia is indeed about to attack NATO, and the CIA Director was there to urge Russia not to do it. The theory makes ...

 The purpose of this post is to write a reminder of the truth of two situations that (despite political decisions on August 24th) remain unchanged. Before I address the decisions, I want to say again, nothing on this blog will ever be based on politics. The first "move" that I am going to mention is, on August 24th the United States State Department removed the designation of Syria being a "state sponsor of terrorism." To be straightforward, this is a bad decision. The current leader of Syria runs a branch of Al Qaeda (HTS) meaning Al Qaeda is literally running Syria. Syria is very much still a state sponsor of terrorism, despite what the "decision to remove them from the list claims. The other "move" that I want to address is, On August 24th the United States put (or said that they were going to put) sanctions on Iran. This is not going to have any major impact on the regime in Iran. The best proof is the riots earlier this year in Iran occurred main...

 It has recently been disclosed, that last month a power plant in the United Kingdom was hacked. According to what is currently known, a group of hackers who are linked to Iran took the plant offline for 4 days. For security reasons, it is unknown what plant was hacked. The fact that hackers managed to "shut down" a power plant for 4 days is concerning regardless of where it happened. An interesting note in this story is, it is understood that the hack at the power plant, occurred around the same time that several water facilities in in the United States were hacked.

 In the middle of the day on August 21st, several drones hit a shopping center located in the Ukrainian city of Kryvyi Rih. The attack resulted in at least 16 deaths, and more than 130 injuries (including 22 kids). According to the regional governor, 29 of the injured are in "serious condition" (including 5 children). The governor went on to say, that 9 people are considered missing (including 2 kids). The President of Ukraine (Zelensky) called the attack "absolutely cynical, and despicable." 

 On August 20th, North Korea launched a barrage of ten short range ballistic missiles. Each of the missiles flew roughly 185 miles before landing in the sea. As a result of the launch, South Korea put their military on a state of high readiness. Also on August 20th, Finland said that it suspected that a "Russian Aircraft" had violated Finnish Airspace earlier in the day.

 I referenced Kaliningrad in the last post on this blog (the title of the post is "REAL WORLD"). In this post, I want to list some details to illustrate why Kaliningrad is so important. Kaliningrad is a Russian Enclave, and it is located hundreds of miles from Russia itself. It is known as one of the most militarized regions in Europe. Some of the Russian Military located in Kaliningrad include, several units of ground forces, advanced missile capabilities, and advanced missile, and air defense systems. Kaliningrad also contains Russia's only ice-free Baltic port (which houses Russia's Baltic Fleet). However, perhaps the most significant detail about Kaliningrad is that is in bordered by two NATO Members (Lithuania, and Poland).

 Officials in NATO have released a plan for what the response would be if Russia either fires missiles at a Baltic country or invades one. Before I get into the outline of the plan, let me say the obvious, the fact that any of this is even being discussed should standout to everyone. According to the plan that was released, if Russia fires missiles at a Baltic country, NATO would intercept the incoming missiles, and begin a "massive" strike campaign against Russian military infrastructure (particularly in Kaliningrad).  Next, If Russia launches an armored attack on a Baltic country, NATO would respond by setting up a a grey zone on the border of the country being attacked. The primary goals of the grey zone would be to 1 slow Russian offences, and 2 to cause heavy losses for the Russians.  In this scenario, the goal would be for NATO Forces to ultimately counterattack with their own armored brigades. Lastly, once an assault (of any form) was stopped, NATO would form an ai...

 Wildberries is the largest online retailer in Russia and is widely known as Russia's' Amazon. The company accounts for roughly a third of Russia's e-commerce market, and over 8% of the country's GDP. Over the last few weeks, Ukraine has been conducting a systematic strike campaign on Wildberries Warehouses across Russia. The goal of the campaign is to cripple the Russian Economy severely enough that they (Russia)will have to stop the war. The point of the previous paragraph is to set up the reason for this post (which I will explain in this paragraph). A few hours ago, a swarm of Ukrainian drones struck the largest Wildberries center in Russia. A large fire was seen at the facility following the attack.

 It recently came out, that Russia intends to takeover Moldova after taking over Ukraine. Reportedly, first Russia wants to capture enough land in Southern Ukraine to have a land corridor between Russia, and Moldova. At first glance these ideas seem absurd (because they are) but just because it is absurd, does not mean Russia does not plan to do it. Remember, prior to the invasion of Ukraine (in 2022) the idea of a full-scale invasion was considered ridiculous by many people.

Evil people talk a lot; we should listen more. What I mean with the first sentence is the free world should take seriously what the forces of evil in the world say. In the next paragraph I will list some historic examples of evil saying what it will do (not being taken seriously) and what ended up happening. In the 1920s (while in prison) Adolf Hitler wrote down the way he saw the world in "Mien Komph." Less than 20 years later WW2 occurred largely as a result of Hitler trying to achieve said world view. In 1996, Osama bin Laden declared war on the United States. 5 years later the largest terrorist attack in history was carried out in the United States (the attacked was backed by Bin Laden). Many times, prior to 2022 Putin said Ukraine was part of Russia. In early 2022 Russia invaded Ukraine (and the war is still ongoing). Currently Russia is Increasingly testing NATO, China is getting ready to start a campaign to overtake the United States globally, and Iran is toying with t...

 Yesterday, the Houthis attacked a cargo ship as it was transiting through the Bab el Mandeb Strait. The attack involved the Houthis firing 3 ballistic missiles at the ship (resulting in the deaths of 4 seafarers). A short time later, the Houthis fired another missile at one of the ships carrying rescue crews (who were there to assist the ship that was hit earlier). The missile hit its target killing and injuring 3.  To my knowledge, this is the deadliest attack on shipping since the war began in February.

 If you follow this blog, then you know that I think WW3 started when Russia launched their full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. In this post, I am going to compare some of the current events in the world to the global landscape during WW2. The reason for doing so is to show that it is undeniable that WW3 is currently underway (likely in its early stages). During WW2, there was fighting across much of Europe. There was also heavy fighting in parts of Asia, and some fighting in the Middle East (and Northern Africa). Today, there is a major war raging in Europe (in areas that saw a lot of fighting during WW2) that is starting to spread. There is fighting that is intensifying in the Middle East (and North Africa) as well as a country in Asia with ambitions of Global conquest (China).

 Today in Toulouse France, a man stabbed 2 police officers. Few details of the attack are known at this time (the attack just happened) other than the attacker was arrested, and the officers survived. Early reports, however, indicate that the stabbings were a terrorist attack. An earthquake occurred earlier today in the western part of Columbia. The earthquake had a 7.4 magnitude, and buildings collapsed in several cities. As of the writing of this post 111 people are dead, 87 injured, (both numbers are expected to rise) and many people are trapped under rubble.

 Jubail is the largest industrial city in the world, and it is located in Saudi Arabia. The city has a population of roughly 379,000 and makes up roughly 7% of the kingdom's GDP. A few hours ago, a gas plant was attacked in Jubail. It is currently unknown whether the attack was carried out by the Houthis, or Iran backed militias in Iraq. As a result of the attack, a large fire occurred at the plant. The attack is a significant escalation regardless of who conducted it.

 In the post titled "CRISIS AVERTED," I described a situation in Germany likely involving drones, that were possibly connected to Russia. Today (August 7th) it came out that U.S. Intelligence suspects that the drones were indeed Russian. This is very significant for obvious reasons, as at least one of the drones had explosives on it.  United States Intelligence also said that they assessed that Russia "could" launch a limited attack on a NATO member country within the next few years.  According to the assessment the attack could range anywhere from a cyberattack, to a ground incursion.

Throughout August 6th tensions between Saudi Arabia, and the Houthis increased dramatically. In the next paragraph, I will list the actions that occurred. First, the Houthis attacked military positions of Saudi backed government forces (the other side in the Yemeni civil war) in two areas that are controlled by the exiled government. Separately, the Houthis also attacked Najran (in southwestern Saudi Arabia) injuring 11 civilians. Currently Saudi Arabia is anticipating joint attacks by the Houthis, combined with Iran backed Iraqi mulitas to occur in the near future. Saudi Arabia has said that they will respond to any attacks. 

Late on the night of August 4th, a "flying object" was spotted in the sky over Leipzig/Halle International Airport. Several flights were diverted as a result, one of the planes was hit by the "object" causing slight damage. Several hours later, a drone with an explosive device attached to it was spotted on the ground next to one of the runways, and police were able to defuse the device by removing the detonator using a robot. This is obviously a very alarming incident. It is made more notable because the runway where these incidents occurred has Ukrainian cargo plans on it, and the airport to known be used by the government to send weapons to Ukraine. The leading hypothesis among German officials is, that the "flying object was also a drone. In addition, it is also believed that both drones are Russian.

 According to the Ukrainian Border Guard, Russia is planning to re invade Ukraine. Reportedly, Russia is planning to launch their invasion through the Chernihiv Region of Ukraine. You might be saying "didn't Russia invade already?" I will explain my assumption of what their plan is in the next paragraph. First, the answer to the question in the first paragraph is yes. Not only did Russia already invade but they are still engulfed in the war that that invasion caused. Because Chernihiv is located approximately 80 miles from Kyiv, and the war has been going on for over 4 years, I assume Russia is intending to carry out a sort of "Blitzkrieg" with the intention of reaching Kyiv and toppling the Ukrainian Government.

The regime that is ruling Iran is evil. That first sentence is important to remember, as it is reality. It is a mistake how the U.S. is "pausing" attacks on Iran again to "negotiate." In the next paragraph I will list a few examples of how Iran's actions have not changed, and I will finish with a statement on why the "pause" is actually empowering Iran. Since the pause was announced over the weekend, more ships have been attacked in the Strait of Hormuz. The rhetoric coming out of the Iranian Regime is becoming more arrogant. On August 3rd two protestors who were arrested earlier this year were executed.  In addition, I recently read that a 16-year-old girl who was also arrested earlier this year for protesting, is expected to be executed in the near future by being hanged in public (grotesque). The reason for the list is to show that the Iranian Regime is still as evil as ever, and the "pause' by the United States is letting evil go unchecked...

 The Balzi Rossi is an Italian restaurant in Moscow Russia. It is known as a "standout dining destination" in the city. On August 1st (around 8 PM) a dramatic incident occurred outside the restaurant. I will explain in the next paragraph.  Around the time mentioned in the last paragraph, a woman (who was carrying a homemade bomb) attempted to enter the Balzi Rossi. A security guard would not let the woman enter, simultaneously the bomb detonated. The explosion resulted in the deaths of the woman, the security guard, and a customer at the restaurant (and injured 21 others). The reason for the incident is currently unknown.